Here's an interesting posting of 2005 technology predictions from a Université du Québec (Montréal) [1] professor, Daniel Lemire [2], which are insightful. NEO will be well served with some IT visioning and knowing of developments to expect in the coming year and beyond. Of greatest interest to "REALNEO users", from Lemire, is probably "The Web
will keep evolving. Personalisation will be a big thing: while the Web
is now seen as a static graph on which people navigate, we will start
seeing the Web as a graph around people. Social software will keep
growing and growing in importance and won’t be based on ontologies or
any such rigid model. New forms and models of recommender systems will
emerge"... all of which is part of the REALNEO vision. Read on, and add your predications as comments or pages to this...
Technology predictions are always
worthless, but they can be fun. Plus, predictions on a blog tend to
stay around and so people can check back on them.
- The
home PC market will keeping declining and by the end of 2005, a new
architecture will seriously threaten the PC for home web surfing, email
and instant messaging. There will be serious talk of replacing the
PC-on-every-desk model in many companies. Maybe Microsoft will be
pusing an XBox2-Pro for business use. - Videoconference-type broadband will still be out-of-reach for most home users and most small and medium businesses.
- Whatever
the big thing in IT is, it will have to do with storage. Job prospects
in large cities will improve significantly for IT workers in 2005 and
the growth will be driven by the new possibilities offered by infinite
permanent storage. They will be significantly more data warehousing at
the end of 2005 especially in smaller companies. - Google will
still be the most interesting Web company at the end of 2005. They will
still be seen as a potent competitor for Microsoft. - The
Semantic Web will still be mostly at the same point it is now, at the
end of 2005. That is, some nice ideas, including RDF and XML will stick
around and find some uses, but OWL won’t take off. - The Web
will keep evolving. Personalisation will be a big thing: while the Web
is now seen as a static graph on which people navigate, we will start
seeing the Web as a graph around people. Social software will keep
growing and growing in importance and won’t be based on ontologies or
any such rigid model. New forms and models of recommender systems will
emerge. - Security will be a big thing in 2005 as it was in
2004, but we won’t make significant progress. People will install
critically insecure software and they won’t care; or else, they will
keep locking everything down. - eLearning in universities will
keep on growing and we’ll have significantly more online courses
offered by the end of 2005, though the push will come from students and
deans, and not so much from Faculty members. - eLearning
outside universities may grow out of the PowerPoint or Flash models,
but if so, only because some cool new technology, maybe based on XML,
makes it possible. - Year 2005 will be the year where the
parallelization of systems and algorithms will become ubiquitous
because of changes in CPUs.
Ok, most of those predictions may sound obvious. Well, what are your predictions?