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RECOMMENDATION: Legalize commercial hemp production, the sooner the better to capitalize on first mover advantageSubmitted by Norm Roulet on Sun, 06/20/2010 - 10:12.
In 1998, Canada legalized hemp as a product and began national development of hemp related industries. Prior to making that decision, analysts consider the economic cases for and against developing the hemp industry in their nation - a major decision - and they decided: RECOMMENDATION: Legalize commercial hemp production, the sooner the better to capitalize on first mover advantage. Since then, Canada has certainly taken a "first mover" advantage with the hemp industry and developed a bright green economy, with $10s billions in national benefits providing 100,000s of jobs in their nation, in about a decade. Looking forward to legalizing the industrial hemp industires for Ohio and America, look back to the late 1990s, when Canada as a nation decided it was time to be independent of foolish American legacy policies and develop their hemp industries, which has been a great decision. In brief, here is the recommendation of Commercial Hemp Cultivation in Canada; An Economic Justification:
Canadian seed must also be "certified low-THC" to ensure that farmers will not be at risk of losing their entire crop because of being even slightly above the allowable THC limit. All that and more is included in my recommendations for Ohio, as well. Here are some economic justifications expected for Canada, which have certainly exceeded expectations: Commercial Hemp Cultivation in Canada
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Yield (tonnes/acre) | ||||
2.5t/ac | 3t/ac | 3.5t/ac | 4t/ac | |
Seeding @ 55kg/ha | 107.24 | 89.37 | 76.60 | 67.00 |
Seeding @ 70kg/ha | 114.00 | 95.00 | 81.43 | 71.25 |
Operating Expenses:
The cost of growing hemp for seed is reduced since the seeds are planted much less densely. At the generally accepted rate of 10-15 kg/ha, the cost of seed is $11.25-$16.88/acre. These savings, however, are largely offset by the need to use herbicides, since at this density the hemp crop will not effectively smother the competing weeds. As no research for the necessary requirements of herbicides is currently available, the cost of $15.00/acre for suppressing annual grass and broadleaf weeds is slightly more than the sample costs for growing canola in Ontario, but significantly less than that required for growing corn, since the crop will still have natural pest and weed suppressing abilities.[15] The fertilizer and irrigation requirements for growing hemp for seed are comparable to growing hemp for fibre.
Harvesting requirements for seed differ somewhat from fibre. Although the primary revenue will be generated from the seed, the remaining stalks, though of lesser quality than those grown specifically for fibre, will also be of value and will have to be harvested. The additional operation (hence cost) required is combining, where the combine cuts the upper parts of the plants, and threshes and cleans the seeds. Subsequently the crop is mown and left to dry.[16]
Projected Yields:
As with growing hemp for fibre, reported seed yields vary considerably. Seed yields, as well as the seed's oil content depend on the seed variety and growing conditions. Average expected yields range from 0.7-1.2 t/ha, and oil content is generally between 30-35%.[17] The yield of dry matter stalk when growing for seed will also vary, but is generally expected to be in the same range as hemp grown for fibre, if planted density is at least 15kg/ha. The fibre quality is significantly lower, however, since the plants are subject to less competition to grow vertically (resulting in fine slender stalks and fibre), and fibre quality also declines once the plants go to seed.
Break-even Price for Seed Only (Farmgate $/bushel):
Yield (bushels/acre) 14.3bu/ac 19bu/ac 23.8bu/ac Seeding @15kg/ha 16.6 12.5 10.0
Note: Assuming 1 bushel of hemp seed = 21kg[18] low yields of 300kg/acre, medium yields of 400kg/ha and high yields of 500kg/ha translates approximately into the expected 0.7-1.2t/ha seed yields.[19]
This analysis is based on a range of prices for hemp seed derived from the average market prices for comparables (flaxseed and canola) from 1989-1993. Flaxseed hit a low of $5.00 in 1991, while canola reached $7.30 in 1993.[20] Since hemp seed is such a rich source of protein (25%) and is rich in nutritionally exceptional oil, these prices represent the low range of realistic estimates. Furthermore, since there is generally some loss of stalk yield resulting from the seed harvesting, only low fibre yields of 2.5 and 3.0 tonnes/acre have been considered. For each seed price the resulting break-even price for the "leftover" stalk is given in $/tonne.
Break-even Price per Tonne of Stalk ($/t)
Price/bushel Low/Low; 14.3bu/2.5t Low/Med; 14.3bu/3.0t Med./Low; 19bu/2.5t Med./Med.; 19bu/3.0t $5/bu 66.40 55.33 57.00 47.50 $6/bu 60.68 50.57 49.40 41.17 $7/bu 54.96 45.80 41.80 34.83 $8/bu 49.24 41.03 34.20 28.50
A potentially substantial and unknown variable in growing hemp commercially is the expected need for special licensing. The current procedure for obtaining a research permit is very elaborate and time consuming. Hopefully if commercial cultivation were legalized this procedure would be largely standardized and simplified. Also, there is an additional cost to the authorities of surveying and testing the crops. Furthermore, as long as the granting of these permits is at the discretion of the Minister of Health, there is no certainty that a farmer will be able to grow the crop. This is a risk not only to the farmer, but is also a substantial disincentive for industry who would rely not only on the economic viability of the crop, but also on its guaranteed availability.
Finally, assuming that the current maximum level of 0.3% THC will continue, there is an additional and significant risk of the crop testing above this legal level. If, for instance, the crop were to test at 0.5%, the authorities would retain the right to destroy the crop, and hence all revenues (and, theoretically, criminally charge the farmer in question). Certainly this risk will be at least partially alleviated by using only "certified" seed, but then will the seed provider be financially responsible for any variation? If so, the resulting need for additional insurance will likely result in even higher seed prices. Also worth noting is that to date, no research permits have been granted for the production of seed, although this is an area of significant strategic importance considering the high price, short supply and unadapted nature of imported varieties. Please note also that these break-even points are based on farmgate prices, so no transportation costs have yet to be factored in.
Market returns for hemp stalk, fibre, hurds or seed depend on a number of factors, including:
The Canadian hemp industry is at a stage in its development where the actual income per tonne is difficult to determine, because full scale production has not been attempted. Economies of scale are expected to reduce costs significantly, but actual processing and capital investment figures can only be estimated, and are largely based on the experiences of other countries. The market prices expected for hemp are derived from current market prices for the next best alternative.
Although hemp has innumerable potential uses[21] this study will focus on the more common, large scale commodity products for which hemp has promise as a potential alternative input. The most often quoted uses of the fibre which define the necessary processing technology are as follows:
1)Energy source (whole plant):
Because of its high yield potential, hemp has been acclaimed as an ideal biomass fuel. It can be burned as is, or processed into charcoal, methane, methanol, ethanol, or gasoline. Typical methodology for the processing of hemp for fuel is destructive distillation or "pyrolysis". Destructive distillation involves the subjection of hemp hurd to heat and distillation in the absence of air. Hemp charcoal as a biomass fuel can be burned in today's coal-powered generators. Alternatively, Methane can be produced by the anaerobic decay of hemp. Also, ethanol is typically made from cellulosic biomass, and hemp is an excellent source of high quality cellulosic biomass.
Although no processing would be required for this application, high transport costs would necessitate regional processing or power generating plants. The economic potential of this application in the short term is questionable, however, since hemp would have to compete with other agricultural waste products. North American agriculture currently generates over 350 million tons of cellulose waste a year (straw, corn husks, etc.) much of which is burnt in the field but has energy generating capacities generally at least equal to hemp (see table below).[22]
Plant Energy Output (kJ/kg) Corn 16510 Grains, Cereals 17610 Rape 20170 Wood 18660 Hemp 16450
Source: H. von Buttlar, "Hemp: Perspectives for use as a Boiler Fuel," GHK Kassel/Universitat
Since these agricultural "waste" products currently generate no additional revenue for the farmers, any amount would be incremental income. To grow hemp specifically for this purpose, then, would neither take advantage of hemp's unique fibre qualities, nor would it command any premium price over the likely nominal costs for such agricultural waste.
2) Building material (bast, core or whole plant):
The possible building material applications for hemp range from an input for fibre board to insulation to hemp houses. Although the bast fibres, because of their high tensile strength, have significant potential as replacements for glass fibres for fiberglass or as a replacement for asbestos in fibre cement, such applications would require the bast fibre to be separated from the hurds. Joe Hickey of the Kentucky Hemp Growers Co-op has reported that a major fiberglass manufacturer calculated the market value of bast fibre to be $2000/ton.
Composites, which include paneling, medium-density fiberboard, trusses, and support beams, comprise the fastest-growing segment of the wood-products industry. In 1994, building materials accounted for 20 000 tons of assorted crops, in 1996, it is expected to account for 500 000 tons.[24] Washington State Univ.'s preeminent Wood Composite Laboratory has tested hemp for use in medium-density fiberboard, and lab results show that hemp is up to twice as strong as wood. Certain other low-cost agricultural waste products are already being used in this process (straw, for instance), but hemp has a significant advantage because of its high tensile strength. Current prices for wood chips used in fiberboard production are approximately US$100/t, while straw is sold for as little as US$10/t for animal bedding.[25]
Hemp hurds, traditionally considered a waste product are now being used fairly extensively in France for insulation materials and when combined with lime naturally petrify to create a pourable building material. This material is five times lighter, yet stronger than concrete, and has superior insulation and fire retardant properties. The most renown of these processes has been patented by a French company Isochanvre.
3) Paper (bast, core or whole plant):
Although in 1994, non-wood fibre sources accounted for only 7-10% of total paper and board production worldwide,[26] they have become the target of widespread interest as traditional wood sources are being depleted, and consumers demand tree-free alternatives. Hemp has additional environmental advantages, since compared to wood fewer chemicals are required to convert the low-lignin fibres to pulp (thus reducing waste water contamination), and hemp requires less, if any, bleaching. Hemp paper also has a much greater resistance to decomposition, is not subject to age related yellowing, and can be recycled much more often than wood.
In Australia there is ongoing research into the viability of pulping the whole stalk, although a study at the Agrotechnical research Institute in the Netherlands concluded that it is better to pulp bast and hurds separately.[27] When processing the whole stalk, a mix of long and short fibres is obtained which has similar properties to (and so would compete price-wise with) good de-inked wastepaper stock, but it drains slowly, and its throughput on standard papermaking machines is two to three times slower than wood.
Australian Newspaper Mills technical manager Len Johnson reports that hemp for newsprint "just looks prohibitively expensive." Nevertheless, Johnson said that in laboratory experiments "we have confirmed that mechanical pulping gives rise to a useful pulp using the whole stem of hemp." At the commercial production and marketing level, however, Johnson said that hemp pulp "competes head on" with TMP softwoods. Johnson also said he was still "keeping an open mind" about pulping hemp for newsprint, hoping that the process can be achieved at a lower cost. Separated longer fibers cut to suitable length, he said, can be used to make stronger papers, even as a "reinforcement" for newsprint, where it could replace the 4% to 25% chemical pulp.[28]
While the hurds can make excellent tissue paper and packaging materials, chemical pulping of the shorter core fiber is thwarted by the fact that "it just won't drain on a paper machine." Once separated, however, bast fibres are ideal for the higher priced but limited field of specialty papers such as filter, currency or cigarette paper. Bast fibre also has great potential as a reinforcing fibre for recycled paper and packaging. Andy Graves, president of the Kentucky Hemp Growers' Co-op has, for example, already received an offer from a boxboard recycler who wanted to order 20,000 acres of hemp to add strength to reused cardboard.[29]
As with its application for building materials, hemp faces stiff competition from other non-wood fibres. Long-bast-fiber pulp, for example, may obtain a premium price of up to 20% above top-quality long-fiber pine pulps,[30] but will face strong competition from such fibers as cotton, sisal, flax and abaca. Other non-wood fibres currently being researched for use in pulp and paper are: kenaf, wheat and rice straw, and cereal grasses. In particular, cereal grasses contribute a readily available surplus material from grain cultivation, are cheaper than trees and require less energy to pulp that wood. Another example is seedflax, a fibre very comparable to hemp, and available in Canada in huge quantities virtually for free, since it is a by-product of linseed oil production.[31]
Al Wong, president of the Vancouver-based Arbokem Inc., has compared straw's low price and low pulp yield with wood's higher price and higher pulp yield, and has determined that straw comes in at $58 per ton, while wood costs $105 per ton. North America annually produces approximately 200 million tons of fibrous crop waste, from which 100 to 120 million tons of papermaking pulp could be produced. North American wood pulp production for 1993 was estimated by the Canadian Pulp & Paper Association to be only 88 million tons.[32]
4) Textiles (bast):
Hemp for textiles is perhaps the greatest value added use for hemp, but it is also the most involved. Seeding and harvesting is critical to ensure only the highest quality fibre, while processing is a multi-step, capital and usually labour intensive process. After harvesting, the primary bast fibres are separated from the hurds, after which they are "hackled" to remove any remaining woody particles and to align the fibres into a continuous "sliver" for either wet or dry spinning into yarn. Secondary bast fibres (or "tow"), the by-products of fibre separation and hackling can be carded and then spun into a lower quality yarn or twine. Alternate fiber separation processes such as steam explosion, ultrasound or pulping can be used to obtain various short fibre qualities (see below).
Although flax machinery can be adapted to produce hemp textiles at a similar cost, more robust machinery would be better suited, especially for fibre extraction. The proportion of bast fibre in hemp plants is typically in the 22-30% range, but during processing, a loss of fibre in inevitable. In U.K. trials, one tonne of hemp was calculated to yield 15% or 150kg of line or high quality fibre. Further losses of 35% in hackling and carding, 5% in yarn production and a further 20% in boiling and bleaching the yarn to accept dye, results in an net yield of 73kg, producing 182 square meters of 400gsm (jeans weight) fabric. In addition 100 kg (10%) of shorter or tow fibres would be generated, and 500kg of hemp hurds. The long term price for hemp textiles has been estimated at US$7-10/kg - above cotton, but below linen (flax), since flax has the advantage of having a higher spinning limit, enabling a finer end product. The potential market is difficult to estimate, except to say that, depending on price, it would be between cotton's 50% of total fibre consumption and flax's 3%.[33]
5) Oil (seed):
When growing hemp for seed a much lower seeding rate (usually only 10-15kg/ha) is used. A number of high yield, monoecious strains have been developed specifically for seed production. These varieties typically yield 0.7-1.2 t/ha, of which 30-35% is oil.[34] This is somewhat lower than the average oil extraction rate for canola of 42-43%, from average yields in Canada of 1.27 tonnes per hectare,[35] but hemp oil has the advantage of having unique nutraceutical properties, and a potentially valuable protein meal and (lower quality) fibre crop by-products. A closer competitor would be flax (linseed) oil, which has very similar uses and an oil content basically identical to hemp.[36] Since plant densities between 80-400 plants per square meter have been shown to have little effect on dry stem matter,[37] seeding at a rate of 15 kg/ha (approximately 80 plants per square meter) should result in both maximum fibre and seed yields.
Given the prohibitive price of importing certified seed into Canada from Europe, another important element to seed production will be the production of viable seed for Canadian farmers. As seed varieties are bred specifically for local conditions and uses, yields of fibre and seed are bound to increase, the cost of seed will decrease dramatically, and thus hemp cultivation will be much more competitive. Finally, a somewhat unusual but serious impediment to growing hemp for seed is that hemp seeds are a favorite meal of birds.
In general, the technology which has traditionally been used to process hemp (and is still being used in China and Eastern Europe) is not ideal for modern agriculture because of the high labour demand and therefore high costs of these methods. Although hemp has not had the benefit of continued cultivation and processing in the West, technology has been developed for similar crops, in particular kenaf and flax, which can be adapted to hemp. Also, in the past few years, a number of European companies have developed innovative new approaches to processing hemp fibres.
The degree and type of processing required is determined by the destination of the crop. End users, including paper manufacturers, building product suppliers and textile mills each require a supply of hemp in different forms, ranging from raw stalks to fibers-only or hurds-only. By transporting unprocessed hemp, shipping costs rise because the "waste" portion of the stalk is shipped with the portion that the purchaser requires as inputs for production. Harvesting for chopped stalk essentially eliminates processing costs, but does not capture revenue for the raw fibre. At advanced stages of raw crop processing, hemp is more marketable and less costly to transport than is unprocessed hemp.
As the requirements to the fibre increases, so does the necessary processing, and this technology also becomes more complicated and costly. To determine the economic viability of hemp, I will therefore focus on three approaches to producing hemp commercially:
Separation of Bast Fibres from Hurds
bast fibres to be used for specialty paper and textiles
hurds to be used for building materials and animal bedding
Seed Pressing - for oil, protein meal and building materials
1. Separation of Bast Fibres from Hurds
This is undoubtedly the highest value-added approach to hemp, but it is also the most involved and costly, and the most difficult to estimate. Under optimal conditions, the raw fibre and hurds would be sold separately, generating the most significant returns per hectare. Traditionally fibre separation was a lengthy process of water or dew retting (rotting) the crop after harvest either in water tanks, rivers or ponds, or on the field, followed by breaking the stems, scutching and finally hackling to ensure clean fibre. This basic process has recently been used in France and in trials in England, where processing was found to be "the most difficult part of the whole venture and a key feature in any future expansion."[38] The UK trials attempted to use as high a degree of mechanization as possible, and so after field retting and baling, the crop was delivered to an existing flax processing factory for decortication (fibre separation).
Although flax processing equipment has proven adequate for hemp, equipment designed specifically for hemp processing would be much more efficient and thus profitable over time. There has been talk of the possibility of mobile processing units to minimize transportation costs, but in the experience of UK's Hemcore, the amount of equipment needed would make this approach unrealistic. Regional primary processing units, however, may be a more realistic approach to reducing these transportation costs. Since the Canadian climate is ill-suited to field retting, and as there is no existing long fibre processing infrastructure in Canada, a traditional processing strategy is at best a longer term opportunity which is certain to require significant capital investment, and further study.
A cost efficient and effective approach to fibre separation has been developed in the Netherlands by E. de Meyer and W. Huisman. Their process requires ensiling of the stalk for a minimum of 6 months after field chopping. After the ensiling period, the very clean bast is easily separated from the hurds by floatation - the bast sinks, and the hurds float. This process is estimated to cost only about C$5/tonne, versus mechanical decortication which has a much higher rate of cross-contamination between the bast and hurds, and can cost up to C$100/tonne. The disadvantage of this system, however, is that the ensilage period causes a substantial reduction in the strength of the bast fibres, thereby significantly reducing their value for most industrial applications. If a method can be discovered to better preserve the bast fibre strength this would be an excellent fibre separation alternative.[39]
A number of innovative approaches for smaller scale hemp processing have recently been developed on the lab scale, including using steam explosion, detergents and ultrasound, but for the most part these all still lack demonstration at the pilot or production scale. Some of these technologies produce short fibre or "cottonized" hemp which has the advantage that it can be spun on slightly modified cotton or wool processing equipment.
The first commercial project using such technology is being undertaken this year in the former East Germany. Three Flaksy (bast fibre decorticating and preparing) units recently developed in Germany by the Bahmer Company are going into operation in June, each having an hourly processing capacity of two tonnes of flax and/or hemp fibre. Two of the lines are intended to process flax into a fine short fibre for the textile industry, but will likely also process hemp. The third unit is combined with a detergent processing step which produces a very fine, cotton-like flax fibre (FLASIN).[40]
Although such new processes are very promising, this technology is still in its infancy, has limited availability and is expensive to install and operate. The price of a Flaksy line amounts to US$2 707 500 "delivered ex works, Germany"[41] and may be even higher depending on the quality of the breaker / decorticator unit, the number of separation steps and the sophistication of the dust collection system. In addition, operating costs per shift for any of these lines are likely to be US$195 000 - $325 000.[42] It will be some time, therefore, before such technology will be economically and technologically feasible to implement in Canada.
The high cost of purchasing this machinery from overseas vendors has led to an increased interest in the development of domestically produced equipment. One example is Geof Kime of Hempline, Inc., growers of the first Canadian hemp crop since prohibition. Kime's expertise in the field of equipment design and Hempline's early entry into the business has given Hempline Inc. a distinct first mover advantage. Nonetheless, for the time being it seems that it will be cheaper to import finished textiles from such low-cost hemp producing countries as China and Hungary.
2. Whole Stalk
When growing for the whole stalk of the hemp plant, very little processing is required. The crop can be mowed and then baled with conventional combines. The only further processing required is drying (which can be done in the field after mowing) and chopping which can be easily done with existing equipment. If the highly valued bast fibre is not to be separated from the hurds, however, it makes more economic sense to grow hemp for stalk and seed, and harvesting the stalk after the seed (see below).
3. Seed Pressing
The principal challenge in pressing hemp seed for oil is that hemp seed oil is so highly unsaturated that rancidity begins as soon as the oil is exposed to heat, light or air. In 1986, advanced seed oil companies began using technology that could extract oil in the absence of all three. This proprietary technology uses inert gasses and vacuums to cold press the seeds without contaminating the oil with oxygen, and so avoids starting the chain reactions that create rancidity. Using this technology reactive oils like hemp can be pressed into a product which can be kept in a bottle for up to a year without going rancid. [43]
Hemp oil is currently very expensive (about three times the price of flax oil), but again this is almost exclusively due to the high cost of importing seed. Since they have almost identical yields, and oil contents, and flax is also very highly unsaturated they should compete head to head price wise. Hemp, however, has the advantage of being flavorful, while flax oil is generally considered unpalatable, and is almost always sold for consumption in capsule form.
Since the pressing technology best suited for hemp seed is presently being used for other highly volatile oils, in particular therapeutic oils, hemp would at least initially compete in this high value specialty oil niche. Its main competitors would be oils such as: evening primrose oil, borage oil, black currant seed oil and flax oil, all which are also typically taken in capsule form. Hemp seed oil would likely not compete against cooking oils, since the extreme heat of frying changes its molecular structure and may diminish its nutritional value.
Hemp oil can also be used for commercial purposes, in particular as a lubricant or in the production of varnishes and oil paints. For centuries hemp oil was the principal oil used for oil paints as it is a particularly good vehicle for ground pigments, and is very quick drying. In these uses hemp seed oil's proneness to rancidity is not a significant factor, since it can be easily stabilized and preserved with the addition of vitamin-E. In these applications, again its most serious competitor is the less ideal flax oil, which many manufacturers of paint supposedly were forced to switch to after hemp's prohibition.[44]
After harvesting hemp for seed, a substantial stalk crop remains. As has been previously discussed, the lower fibre quality would not make this crop suitable for fibre separation even if the processing technology were available. The whole stalks are a valuable input for fibre board and other composite building materials, however. Since harvesting and baling the whole stalks does not present any significant difficulties, the only potentially limiting factor is the potentially high transportation costs were the crops to be grown far from the board manufacturer.
Fibre Separation:
Bast Fibres:
According to UK trials, Sue Riddlestone reports that when processed on a commercial scale, one tonne of raw hemp stalk would conservatively produce 182 square meters of 400gsm fabric (73kg). At current wholesale market prices of approximately C$10 per square meter, this would translate into C$1820/t. Given the longer term estimates of C$10-14/kg, however, expected revenue generated from the bast fibre of one tonne of hemp would be C$730-1022.[45] Since 2.5-4 tonnes of hemp can be grown per acre, the total primary bast revenue per acre would be C$1825-4088. These prices, however, must cover the very substantial processing required to achieve a fine hemp textile.
As an alternative input for fibre glass, one tonne of stalk should yield a minimum of 150-200kg of suitable primary bast fibre. At the reported market price of C$2800/t,[46] this would generate C$420-560 per tonne of stalk, or C$1050-2240/acre.
As an alternative to imported jute, Canada Cordage of Kitchener, Ontario has offered $800/tonne for raw bast fibre for processing into yarn, rope and electrical cable filler. Although a superior fibre, at this price, bast fibre from an acre of hemp would generate $300-640/acre.
As an input for high quality, specialty paper, it has been estimated that hemp in the long term could command a 20% premium over top quality long fibre pine pulps. [47] Presently, however, because of its limited supply, the market price for hemp pulp is in the US$2100/t range, versus around US$600/t for a standard grade of softwood pulp.[48] This premium is deceptive since the price of the input is typically a small proportion (approximately 16.5%)of the final cost of the pulp. In late 1995, for instance, standard softwood pulp prices hit an all time high of US$1000/t. At the same time, standard softwood wood chip prices were also at their height at US$165/t. At current hemp pulp prices, then, hemp bast only commands C$485/tonne.[49]
Hurds:
The most likely use for the principal by-product of processing, the hurds, would be as a building product raw material, or as animal bedding, specifically for horses which because of its superior absorbency and rapid composting in Europe fetches US$130-250/tonne. In either case, the main competitor is wood shavings, and more recently other non-wood crops such as straw or flax shives. These materials are typically in the C$55-$70/t. Even at a very low final yield of 1500-2400 kg/acre (60% hurd yield), these very low prices would generate an additional C$83-$168/acre. At the premium generated by hemp hurds elsewhere, this additional revenue would be C$285-684.
The uses and thus price for whole hemp stalk is likely to be similar to hemp hurds, although the inclusion of the strong bast fibres may in the future command a premium price as an input for composite building materials. Assuming that when being grown for whole stalk, the hemp is also being grown for seed, for yields of 2.5-3t/ac, the projected revenue from whole stalk would be C$137.5-$210.
Until hemp can be grown for seed in Canada (or the U.S.), hemp seed and hence oil prices in North America are very inflated due to the cost of transport. Currently, hemp oil sells wholesale for US$135/gallon[50] or approximately US$38.50/kg (C$54/kg). Thus, at an extraction rate of 35% and seed yields of 0.3-0.5t/ac, at current prices an acre of seed pressed for oil will gross C$5670-$9450! Of course, once grown domestically seed and oil prices would fall, probably to a level similar to flax and canola. Since hemp oil is presently about three times the price of flax oil, this translates into a more realistic equilibrium price of C$1890-3150. Again, these prices reflect wholesale prices, and therefore include transportation of the seed to the pressing facility, pressing and packaging costs, distribution costs, margins, etc. [51]
In the event of the legalization of commercial hemp production, the likely farmgate price for raw hemp seed has been estimated at C$7.50-$9.25/bu.[52] This price is comparable with, though on the higher end of prices for other similar seed crops. At this price, an acre of hemp grown for seed would generate $107.25-$220.15/acre.
Given these expected revenues and projected yields, I estimate that growing for seed and fibre will generate combined revenues of $244.75-$430.15/acre. Since the total expected costs of growing hemp for seed are $237.50/acre, even in a "worse case" scenario, a minimum return of $7.25 is expected. As illustrated in the table below, this is slightly better than the expected return from spring wheat, when using average prices from 1989-1993. The median expected hemp yields and prices generate expected returns which are more than double the next best crop, Ontario canola, and the highest estimates (which should still be considered conservative) are really quite exceptional compared to the other crops. It is worth noting again that this high potential profitability is the result of hemp being two crops in one. If hemp were grown only for seed OR whole stalk, it would likely generate negative returns even in best case scenarios.[53]
Canola (Ontario) | Grain Corn | Spring Wheat | Low P/Y Hemp | Average Hemp | High P/Y Hemp | |
Ave. Yield (bu/ac) | 33 | 109 | 41 | 14.3bu/ac; +2.5t/ac | 19bu/ac; +2.75t/ac | 23.8bu/ac; +3t/ac |
Ave. Price ($/bu) | 6.30 | 2.86 | 3.59 | $7.50/bu; $55.00/t | $8.38/bu; $62.50/t | $9.25/bu; $70.00/t |
Total Revenue | 207.00 | 311.74 | 147.19 | 244.75 | 337.45 | 430.15 |
Total Costs | 166.55 | 277.80 | 140.39 | 237.50 | 237.50 | 237.50 |
Return ($/ac) | 41.35 | 33.94 | 6.80 | 7.25 | 99.95 | 192.65 |
The further advantage of growing hemp for seed and whole stalk is that very little is required in terms of capital investment for new harvesting or processing technology and facilities. The crop can be planted and harvested with existing machinery, requiring at most only slight adaptations, and existing processing facilities can transform the crop into valuable oil and composite building products, both of which have certain qualities which are superior to products currently being produced out of more traditional raw materials.
Because of the labour intensive nature of traditional fibre separation, in order to competitively grow hemp for its valuable bast fibre requires processing technology which is not yet proven at a commercial level. In the future, the viability of this process will have to be determined by weighing the probably significant capital investment required to establish this industry, and the processing costs against the expected incremental revenues this value adding procedure will generate. A primary stage of processing resulting in clean, separated bast fibres will service industry requiring these fibres in their raw form (for specialty paper or fiberglass, for example). If the high revenues that, in particular, fiberglass would seem to generate were to be realized, it seems there will be more than ample incentive to further pursue this alternative.
Creating a Canadian hemp textile industry require an additional, secondary level of processing. After the bast fibre is separated from the hurds, it must be combed, then processed into a sliver (an assemblage of fibres in a continuous form), then into a rove (a finer sliver) before being ready for spinning and finally weaving. Since Canada presently does not produce ANY agricultural crops for fibre, we do not have even the basic infrastructure available. The potential revenues are substantial, however, and if any of the new "cottonizing" technologies prove themselves on a commercial level, this may yet be a viable opportunity. The other possibility, especially more in the short term may be to export raw bast fibre to the U.S. for processing into textiles, since the U.S. already has established cotton and more importantly flax processing infrastructure in place.
Since hemp would seem to be financially very without having to make any of these significant capital investments, it seems that if hemp production were legalized it would be able to more than adequately support itself, and further research into the best approaches to value adding processing could then be undertaken using Canadian grown hemp. Furthermore, if Canada were to legalize hemp in the near future, Canadians would also have an important first mover advantage in relation to the U.S.. Since the U.S. is a huge potential market which cannot satisfy its own pent-up demands for hemp, a high demand and thus price level for Canadian grown hemp would be assured.
Legalize commercial hemp production, the sooner the better to capitalize on first mover advantage
Granting of permits should be under the ministry of agriculture, and the process simplified to reduce the risk of not being able to guarantee supply (the most substantial risk for potential industrial end users)
Canadian grown seeds are essential to ensure hemp's competitiveness:to reduce seed cost
to reduce exposure to unstable international supply of certified seed
to produce seeds which are specifically adapted to Canadian (even local) growing conditions
to produce seeds which maximize yield of desired qualities (i.e. stalk yield or bast or oil content)
since it will take a number of years to properly establish a well adapted and diverse Canadian hemp seed germplasm, work on this should commence as soon as possible (despite research licenses having been given out the past two years, all crops were required to be harvested prior to going to seed)
Canadian seed must also be "certified low-THC" to ensure that farmers will not be at risk of losing their entire crop because of being even slightly above the allowable THC limit.
Don Wirtshafter, "Why Hemp Seeds?" Hemp Today, p.173.
Gordon Reichert, "Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada"s Bi-Weekly Bulletin," Vol.7, No.23., 1995.
Gertjan van Roekel, jr. "Hemp Pulp and Paper Production" Journal of the International Hemp Association 1:12-14.
Gero Leson, Toronto Industrial Hemp Conference, 1996.
Ian Low, "UK Hemp Production", Hemcore Ltd., 1995.
David West, "Industrial Hemp Farming" and "Hemp Agronomy"
Ian Low, 1995.
Jack Moes, "1995 Manitoba Hemp Trials" : Lygus plant bugs and Bertha armyworms attacked the leaves and deer like to nip off the tender growing points but leave the tough fibrous parts alone.
Gordon Reichert, 1995.
James Davis "Report on Australian Hemp Trials from James Davis to Joe Hickey," Jan. 15, 1996; Ian Low, 1995; "Hempline Inc.," Western Business School, 1995; Jack Moes, 1995; Dr. R. Kozlowski "Breeding, Cultivation and Applications of Hemp in Poland," 1995.
Jack Moes, p.19; also: Hempline Inc., Joe Strobel of Hempline, Inc. estimated their first year operating costs to be very comparable to corn (costs included cultivating and harvesting expenses for chopped whole stalk using modified hay harvesting machinery).
P. Goloborodíko and John Masura, "Hemp Research and Growing in the Ukraine," Institute of Bast Crops, Glukhov, Ukraine, 1995; Dave West, "Hemp: The Technical Obstacles"
Dave West, "Hempís Technical Obstacles, Breeding", p.2.
James Davis, 1996; Note also that their stated millgate price was over twice that determined by Dutch farmers.
Crop Budgets, Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs, 1995.
Dr. W. Huisman, "Harvesting and Storage of Hemp," Agricultural University of Wageningen, 1995: French method of seed harvesting.
P. Goloborodíko and John Masura, 1995; 1913 U.S. Dept. of Agriculture Yearbook reported average yields of 16-18bu/ac; Dave West, in a personal correspondence, reports that :in Hungary, Bocsa has developed the "unisexual" [monoecious] type, hybrid and all female, [which produces] 1600kg/ha," @ 21kg/bu.
Joe Hickey, Kentucky Hemp Growers Co-op, 1995.
P. Goloborodíko and John Masura, 1995.
"Crop Budgets," Ontario Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs, 1995, p.14.
Popular Mechanics, "The Billion Dollar Crop" 1938; Gero Leson, nova Institute: Depending on the source, estimates range as high as 25 000-50 000 possible uses.
Wayne Roberts, "Fill ëer Up...With Straw" Now, April 11, 1996, p.18.
Wayne Roberts, p.18
John Roulac, ed., Industrial Hemp, pp.24-5.
Jim Rosenburg, Editor & Publisher Magazine, January 20, 1996
Manfred Judt, "Hemp: Papermakers should take it with a pinch of salt" Pulp and Paper International, Oct., 1994.
Sue Riddlestone, "Back to the Future for a Profitable New Industry: Non-wood papermaking" Pulp and Paper International, Nov., 1994.
Jim Rosenburg, Jan. 20,1996.
Wayne Roberts, p.18.
Manfred Judt, Pulp and Paper International, Oct. 1994.
Ir. Gertjan van Roekel, "The 1994 TAPPI Pulping Conference"
Jim Rosenburg, Jan. 20,1996
Sue Riddlestone, "Hemp Textiles in Britain - Opportunities for Bioregional Development", 1995.
P. Goloborodíko, 1995.
AGRA Europe, May 12, 1995.
Udo Erasmus, Oils that Heal, Fats that Kill, Alive Books, 1993.
H. van der Werfe, et al. "Agronomic Research on Hemp in the Netherlands," 1995, p.4.
Ian Low, 1995, p.3.
E. de Maeyer and W. Huisman, "New Technology to Harvest and Store Fibre Hemp for Paper Pulp," IHA Journal, Vol.1, 1995, pp.38-41.
Michael Karus and Gero Leson, "Update: Industrial Hemp in Germany", May, 1996
W. Fritz Mezger, personal correspondance, May 7, 1996
Michael Karus and Gero Leson, "Update: Industrial Hemp in Germany", May, 1996
Don Wirtshafter, p.176.
Ibid., p.178.
Sue Riddlestone, "Hemp Textiles in Britain," Bioregional Group, March 1996.
Joe Hickey, 1995.
Manfred Judt, Pulp and Paper International, Oct. 1994.
Gertjan van Roekel jr. "Hemp Pulp and Paper Production," IHA Journal Vol.1, 1994, p.14.
Bloomburg Business News, March 1996. Note: for conversion purposes US$1=C$1.40.
The Ohio Hempery, Wholesale Catalogue, 1995.
The high protein seed casing are also of value, as they can be ground into a high protein flour or used for animal feed. On a per acre basis, however, their value is negligible ($0.05-$0.10/LB), and is therefore not included in the calculations.
Gordon Reichert, Market Analysis Division, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, personal correspondance, March 1996; In Europe organically grown hemp seed fetches US$1.30-$2.60/kg, Gero Leson "Update: Industrial Hemp in Germany" May 1996.
The exception to this would be if hemp were grown only for stalk, at very high yields and high prices it would still generate positive returns (e.g. at 4.0 t/ac x $70/t, expected returns of $42.50/ac).
*Independent Study
Submitted to:
Prof. Dave Shaw
Prof. Al Mikalachki
Masters of Business Administration
Ivey Business School
University of Western Ontario
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